Les profits des entreprises : un problème ?

Larry Summers s’interroge dans un article du 3 mars 2016 sur les problèmes que soulèvent les profits records des entreprises américaines : « Corporate profits are near record highs. Here’s why that’s a problem ».

As the cover story in this week’s Economist highlights, the rate of profitability in the United States is at a near-record high level, as is the share of corporate revenue going to capital.   The stock market is valued very high by historical standards, as measured by Tobin’s q ratio of the market value of the nonfinancial corporations to the value of their tangible capital.  And the ratio of the market value of equities in the corporate sector to its GDP is also unusually high. All of this might be taken as evidence that this is a time when the return on new capital investment is unusually high.  The rate of profit under standard assumptions reflects the marginal productivity of capital.  A high market value of corporations implies that “old capital” is highly valued and suggests a high payoff to investment in new capital. This is an apparent problem for the secular stagnation hypothesis I have been advocating for some time, the idea that the U.S. economy is stuck in a period of lethargic economic growth.

À la prochaine…

Ivan Tchotourian

Ce contenu a été mis à jour le 6 mai 2016 à 18 h 20 min.